| How to Build More Valid Simulation Models and to Make More Effective Decisions |
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| YOUR SIMULATION RESULTS CAN BE NO BETTER THAN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS THAT DRIVE YOUR MODEL! |
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Automatic and Accurate Selection of the Best Probability Distribution
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Determines the best-fitting probability for your data set in just seconds |
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Decides whether the selected distribution is actually good enough to use in a simulation model, or whether an empirical distribution should be used instead |
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ExpertFit has the most comprehensive set of features
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Allows you to use 40 different distributions even if they are not in your simulation software |
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Provides more than 30 high-quality graphs and four technically correct goodness-of-fit tests |
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Allows multiple distributions on a plot |
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Batch-mode capability for analyzing a large number of data sets |
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Provides innovative methodology for using Weibull, lognormal, and triangular distributions to model randomness in the absence of data |
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ExpertFit has pioneered virtually every major development in distribution-fitting software (first such product and first with automated fitting, and absolute evaluation for a distribution, batch mode, etc.)-development of advanced features has been funded by Accenture, NIST, and Oak Ridge National Lab. |
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ExpertFit can be configured to fit your particular needs
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There are two modes of operation that allow you to configure ExpertFit to your background and to your application |
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Standard Mode contains features sufficient for 95 percent of all analyses and focuses the user on those features that are really important |
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Advanced Mode contains numerous additional features for the sophisticated user |
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A user can easily switch from one mode to another at any time during an analysis |
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ExpertFit is the most technically correct software
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Distribution-fitting methodology is based on 24 years of research and on experimentation with 35,000 data sets |
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Other distribution-fitting packages have invalid goodness-of-fit tests, select distributions that are inconsistent with the data set, and select distributions with ill-defined parameters |
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ExpertFit was developed by Dr. Averill M. Law, who is widely recognized as one of the world's foremost authorities on simulation and distribution fitting |
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ExpertFit has the best documentation and technical support
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Provides 450 pages of context-sensitive help for all menus and all results tables/graphs |
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Online feature index and tutorials on goodness-of-fit tests, available distributions, etc. |
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User's Guide includes eight comlete examples |
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Technical support by recognized experts on distribution fitting and free help on first data analysis |
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ExpertFit® is now bundled with Flexsim® simulation software. (http://flexsim.com)
| DR. AVERILL M. LAW'S SCHEDULE OF SIMULATION SHORT COURSES: |
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| COURSE 1 |
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Simulation Modeling for System Design and Analysis, I: Fundamental Principles |
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| COURSE 2 |
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Simulation Modeling for System Design and Analysis, II: Advanced Concepts |
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| Register for course(s) |
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